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dc.contributor.authorAlcasena Urdíroz, Fermín J.
dc.contributor.authorSalis, Michele
dc.contributor.authorNauslar, Nicholas J.
dc.contributor.authorAguinaga, Eduardo
dc.contributor.authorVega García, Cristina
dc.date.accessioned2017-04-05T09:24:55Z
dc.date.issued2016-09-20
dc.identifier.issn1389-9341
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10459.1/59458
dc.description.abstractWe implemented a fire risk assessment framework that combines spatially-explicit burn probabilities, post-fire mortality models and public auction timber prices, to estimate expected economic losses from wildfires in 155 black pine stands covering about 450 ha in the Juslapeña Valley of central Navarra, northern Spain. A logit fire occurrence model was generated from observed historic fires to provide required fire ignition input data. Wildfire likelihood and intensity were estimated by modeling 50,000 fires with the minimum travel time algorithm (MTT) at 30 m resolution under 97th percentile fire weather conditions. Post-fire tree mortality due to burning fire intensity at different successional stages ranged from 0.67% in the latest stages to 9.22% in the earliest. Stands showed a wide range of potential economic losses, and intermediate successional stage stands presented the highest values, with about 124 ¿ ha− 1 on average. A fire risk map of the target areas was provided for forest management and risk mitigation purposes at the individual stand level. The approach proposed in this work has a wide potential for decision support, policy making and risk mitigation in southern European commercial conifer forests where large wildfires are the main natural hazard.
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work was funded by a University of Lleida Research training fellowship to Fermín J. Alcasena Urdíroz.
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relation.isformatofReproducció del document publicat a: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2016.09.005
dc.relation.ispartofForest Policy And Economics, 2016, vol. 73, p. 153-167
dc.rights(c) Elsevier, 2016
dc.subjectWildfire economic loss
dc.subjectFire risk
dc.subjectPinus nigra
dc.subjectMTT algorithm
dc.subjectPost-fire mortality
dc.subject.otherPi negre
dc.subject.otherIncendis forestals
dc.titleQuantifying economic losses from wildfires in black pine afforestations of northern Spain
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.date.updated2017-04-05T09:24:55Z
dc.identifier.idgrec024718
dc.type.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2016.09.005
dc.date.embargoEndDate2025-01-01


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